Populārais Stock-to-Flow (S2F) modelis var izgāzties – līdz novembra beigām atlikušajās dienās cena, visticamāk, nepagūs sasniegt prognozējamos $98 000. Pēc Huobi analītiķu domām, tās autors PlanB neņēma vērā FRS monetārās politikas normalizāciju.
The Bitcoin Foundation Latvia pilnībā piekrīt Huobi analītiķiem.
Pilna Huobi analīze piewejama šeit: https://huobiresearch.medium.com/taper-landed-the-turning-point-of-the-cryptocurrency-market-is-coming-70e6833e958e
Huobi Research: Why does the Bitcoin S2F model suddenly fail? PlanB ignored the impact of external macro changes. On the 3rd this month, Federal Reserve FOMC announced the launch of Taper, which means that the turning point of liquidity will be advanced. https://t.co/7LuRD102uY
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) November 24, 2021
The conclusion of the Huobi research article is that the US has just launched taper and will withdraw from QE in June next year. After the end of Taper, interest rate hikes followed, which means that liquidity will shrink, which will have a huge impact on various risk assets.
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) November 25, 2021
© 2021 The Bitcoin Foundation Latvia
